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Prospective Capital Flows and Capital Mo...

Warnock, Francis E...

Case

Prospective Capital Flows and Capital Movements: U.S. Dollar versus Euro

Warnock, Francis E.

BP-0545 | Published November 27, 2009 | 23 pages Case

Collection: Darden School of Business

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After experiencing long, multiyear surges and slides in past decades, by summer 2013, the dollar had been range-bound against the euro. In this case, by assessing potential capital flows, students consider whether global currency market trends would propel the dollar higher, or if the past few years were just a pause in a much longer dollar depreciation episode. Suitable for both core and elective MBA courses in global financial markets and international finance, this case explores factors pointing to further euro appreciation and to others favoring the dollar. Sorting through mounds of evidence is necessary before forecasting the exchange rate's likely path. Filtering that evidence requires thinking about FX markets, prospective monetary policies, and past and prospective international capital flows.

To analyze potential movements in the dollar versus euro exchange rate, with special attention to prospective monetary policy and capital flows.