Business Case Studies & Business Publications

Inflation Targeting in South Africa

Warnock, Francis E...

Case

Inflation Targeting in South Africa

Warnock, Francis E.; Hungwe, Archie; Drake, Justin; Debrah, Mitch

BP-0507 | Published August 9, 2015 | 22 pages Case

Collection: Darden School of Business

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South Africa had formally introduced a policy of inflation targeting (IT) in February 2000. By December 2001, the governor of the South African Reserve Bank, after reading the latest statistics, was concerned with the disappointing economic data. Economic activity had slowed drastically, to the point that the country appeared to be heading for a recession. The gloomy statistics forced the governor to consider whether the country had pursued the right policy. Persistently high unemployment, one legacy of the apartheid era, meant that South Africa did not have the luxury of waiting for new policies to bear fruit. With the inflation forecast to exceed the mandated target, the governor would have to tighten monetary policy, which would further restrict investment. Was it is time for South Africa to change course?