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Scoring Expert Forecasts
Lichtendahl, Kenneth C. Jr.; Grushka-Cockayne, Yael Technical Note QA-0772 / Published July 12, 2011 / 5 pages.
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Product Overview

This technical note, based on the more comprehensive note, "Eliciting and Evaluating Expert Forecasts" (UVA-QA-0734), provides a streamlined presentation of Brier and log scores as tools for assessing forecasting records among a pool of experts. The note is designed to be used in conjunction with a forecasting exercise.


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  • Overview

    This technical note, based on the more comprehensive note, "Eliciting and Evaluating Expert Forecasts" (UVA-QA-0734), provides a streamlined presentation of Brier and log scores as tools for assessing forecasting records among a pool of experts. The note is designed to be used in conjunction with a forecasting exercise.

  • Learning Objectives